Why Your CTR Model Is Betraying You

Last updated on Tuesday, May 13, 2025

Have you ever experienced inconsistency between your CTR and the total number of clicks your content receives? We get your frustration! That is why we have developed the perfect solution for you. But first, let us cover the basics.

You need a CTR you can trust to make the right optimizations. The reliability of your CTR depends on whether you rely on a static or dynamic model. Here is a breakdown of the difference between the two models in today’s evolving SERP landscape.

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Why the Static CTR Lies to You

A static CTR model assumes a fixed percentage based on the rank for each keyword. The model presents a CTR of 31.2% for rank 1, suggesting you will get about one-third of the clicks if you land the top spot on the SERP. If you land the second spot, the model assumes a CTR of 12.6%.

But here is the problem: the static CTR model assumes that every SERP looks the same. This is far from the truth. Dynamic elements like ads, featured snippets, AI Overviews, and other SERP features take up space on the SERP. Thus, your top-ranking organic result might not even be visible above the fold, let alone get 30% of the clicks.

But how does this model betray you in your SEO work? Below are three consequences of using the static CTR model.

1. Misleading keyword choices

If your CTR ignores SERP features like featured snippets, AI Overview, and ads, you might assume that ranking number 1 guarantees a lot of traffic. This misleads your keyword optimizations, causing you to spend time on keywords that do not generate the expected traffic.

2. Misguiding SEO performance analysis

A faulty CTR misguides your SEO performance analysis. You might think a page performs better or worse than it actually does. For instance, a low CTR does not always mean your content is irrelevant. Depending on the SERP layout, the organic results move up and down on the SERP. This changes the results’ pixel positions, which can cause a lower CTR despite a top ranking.

3. Creating unrealistic forecasts

SEO forecasts with inflated CTRs look good on paper but cause you to overpromise results to stakeholders. Thus, you set unrealistic expectations that you cannot meet. When you do not deliver results, you damage your credibility and lose your stakeholders’ trust.

Your SEO decisions are only as strong as the data behind them. If your CTR model is stuck in the past, your strategy is too. Now, you might think, “But what is my alternative?” We have a solution that gives you CTRs you can really trust.

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AccuRanker’s Solution to Inaccurate CTRs

Let us get this settled: a CTR is far from static. It can vary from 0% to 75% because the SERP layout can push your organic search results down (Factors affecting Click-Through Rate in Organic Search, AccuRanker, 2025). That is why AccuRanker’s dynamic CTR uses an AI model that accounts for more than 120 parameters to calculate a keyword’s expected CTR. These parameters include SERP features, pixel position, and search intent.

Contrary to a static model, our model estimates how much traffic a keyword will realistically generate based on the current SERP landscape, not outdated averages. But why is the SERP layout so crucial to consider in the CTR metric? Because it changes all the time, which impacts the CTR.

To understand what truly affects CTR in organic search and to what extent, we analyzed how 120+ factors influenced CTR across 1.3 billion SERPs. Here are some key findings:

  • Pages with AI Overviews get around 50% less traffic on mobile than those without.
  • Featured snippets have an average CTR of 12%.
  • Navigational queries have a rank 1 CTR of more than 40%.

These numbers are no joke – they tell you exactly how modern SERPs affect click behavior. If you want to know more about the factors affecting your CTR, download our CTR study and get all the insights you need.

Let us illustrate how our accurate CTRs make your job much easier.

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How the Dynamic CTR Helps You

AccuRanker’s dynamic CTR model gives you a better and more accurate CTR to guide your optimizations, so your website can dominate the SERPs. Our reliable CTR enables you to:

  • Spot high-potential keywords to target in new content
  • Identify pages to optimize for increased traffic
  • Accurately forecast the business impact of your SEO efforts.

The model allows you to make decisions rooted in how users behave on modern SERPs. We cut the guesswork and reliance on static, outdated models. Instead, you get CTRs that reflect the dynamic layout of the SERP and what users see when searching for a keyword.

Reliable CTRs help you focus your efforts on keywords that drive results. They increase your chances of winning more organic traffic than your competitors who rely on a static CTR model. Thus, our CTR insights give you a competitive advantage in the race for clicks.

If you still rely on the static CTR model, you miss out on crucial CTR insights to guide your optimizations. Try AccuRanker for 14 days for free and see what it is like to trust your CTR.

Sille Christensen

Article by:

Sille Christensen

Copywriter at AccuRanker

Bringing SEO knowledge and news about AccuRanker to you

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